The New Republic‘s Michael Crowley suggests that Russia may be becoming more amenable to supporting sanctions against Iran – if the Islamic Republic cannot reach a deal with the P5+1 over its nuclear program.
Crowley argues that Russia’s decision to delay the shipment of an anti-missile defense system coupled with its announcement that the Bushehr nuclear plant won’t be operational by the end of this year suggest that Russia may be inclined to take a harder line against Iran, and may be open to sanctions.
Last week, Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett explained why Russia is extremely unlikely to go along with anything approaching “crippling” sanctions.
And even if Russia were to go along with sanctions, Crowley’s article does not address the fact that even “crippling” sanctions are unlikely to produce the kind of capitulations on Iran’s nuclear program that the Obama administration appears to be seeking.
– Ben Katcher